Due to the devaluation of the taka against the dollar, the foreign debt has increased by more than 3500 crore takas in a single day. Compared to December 2022, foreign debt increased by 420 crore dollars last March.
Before the devaluation of the taka last Thursday, the value of the dollar was Tk. 46 thousand 200 crores as the price of the dollar was 110 taka. Debt has increased to 49 thousand 560 crores from last Thursday as 118 takas. Due to the devaluation of taka, the debt has increased by Tk. 3 thousand 360 crores during the discussion period.
Along with this, the interest rate in the international market increases and the additional money has to be paid about Tk. 200 crores. If you add the interest money, the total amount is more than Tk. 3.5 thousand crore.
According to sources, the entrepreneur conducts business activities by taking loans in foreign currency and converting it into local currency. Local currency has to be converted into foreign currency while repaying the loan. At that time, foreign currency has to be bought at the prevailing dollar price in the market. Due to this, if the price of the dollar increases, the foreign debt increases in terms of taka.
Among these, if the interest rate increases in the international market, the loan amount also increases. Because, at the time of repayment of the loan, the prevailing exchange rate and interest rate are the conditions for repayment of the loan. If there is more short-term debt among them, the risk of debt increases more. Short-term loans are high in the private sector in Bangladesh. Due to this, the debt repayment pressure is also high. In this, the country's foreign exchange reserves are on the downward trend.
At the same time, the price of the dollar is increasing. At present the net reserve is 1848 crore dollars. In August 2021, it rose to the highest gross reserve of 4608 crore dollars.
According to the Central Bank report, the total foreign debt in December 2022 was 9,652 crore dollars. At that time the price of dollar was 103 taka. The loan amount was Tk. 9 lakh 94 thousand 156 crores. Last December, the amount of debt increased to 10,640 crore dollars. At that time the price of dollar was 110 taka. In this, the loan amount stands at Tk. 11 lakh 7 thousand crores.
Debt increased by 4.12 billion dollars during the discussion period. Last March, it further increased the debt status to 10,720 million dollars. As a result, the debt increased by 4.2 billion dollars from January to March 2023. The highest price of the dollar was Tk 110 from last December till Wednesday. According to this, the debt has increased by 46 thousand 200 crores.
The price of the dollar increased to 118 taka from last Thursday. The debt increased to Tk. 49 thousand 560 crores in one day. Due to the increase in dollar value, the amount of loan has increased by Tk. 3 thousand 360 crore.
Meanwhile, the interest rate of loans in the international market has also increased. Before Corona, the average interest rate for six-month Treasury bills in dollars at the London Interbank Offer Rate (LIBOR) was 1.5 to 2 percent. With this, 2.5 to 3 percent was added to the loan interest. According to this, the interest rate was 4 to 5 percent.
At present, the LIBOR rate has increased to 5.71 percent in dollars and the US Secured Overnight Finance Rate (SOFR) has risen to 5.38 percent. If you add two and a half percent to this, the interest rate stands at 8.21 percent in dollars. Adding three percent makes the interest rate even higher. As a result, the loan interest rate is increasing. Due to this, the debt situation is increasing.
Apart from this, as a result of increasing the loan repayment period, additional interest has to be paid as well as penalty interest. In case of failure to pay the installments of the loan in the international arena, high interest along with penalty interest has to be paid against it.
Last year, interest payments on short-term loans were 93 crore dollars. Tk. 10 thousand 130 crore as dollar price is 110 taka. 113 crore dollars to be paid this year. Of this, 500 million has already been paid. Another 63 million dollars will have to be paid. As of now, the price of dollars is 110 taka as 6930 crore taka. 7434 crores as Tk.118. Tk. 504 crores to be paid more.
Since the time of Corona, due to the business slowdown, the repayment period of loan installments has been extended in stages. As a result, the amount of debt has also increased. Despite the increase in loan repayments, the debt status has now increased again, although it decreased slightly in March last year.
In December 2022, the external debt of the public sector was 7 thousand 221 crore dollars. Last March it increased to 7981 crore dollars. 7.6 crore dollars increased. As the dollar price is 110 taka, the loan amount is 83 thousand 600 crore taka. As of 118 taka, its amount has increased to 89 thousand 680 crore taka. Due to the devaluation of the taka, the debt in this sector is increasing by Tk. 6 thousand 80 crores.
Most of the public sector debt is long-term. Due to which they have a long repayment period. The level of risk is low. But short term loans are more in the private sector. These are to be repaid within 3 to 6 months. Interest rates are also high. That is why the risk is high for them. Most of these loans are deferred. At the same time paying more.
The external debt position of the private sector was 2,431 crore dollars as of December 2022. Last March it decreased to 2095 crore dollars. Debt decreased by 336 crore dollars during the period under discussion. As the dollar price is 110 taka, the debt has decreased to 36 thousand 960 crore taka. 118 has decreased to 39 thousand 648 crores. Due to the devaluation of the rupee, the level of debt reduction has increased by Tk. 2 thousand 688 crores.
Among the loans of the private sector, the loan of the import sector is the largest. In this, trade credit and foreign LC liabilities are increasing which is causing pressure on the country's foreign exchange reserves.
Debt in other sectors was 11.42 crore in December 2022. Last March it further increased to 11.78 crore dollars. Debt increased by 36 crore dollars. As the dollar price is 110 taka, the debt has increased to 3960 crore taka. 118 increased to Tk. 4249 crore. Debt increased by Tk. 288 crore due to devaluation of taka.