Delicately swinging Modi government!
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![photo: Collected](https://imaginary.barta24.com/resize?width=1280&quality=75&type=webp&path=uploads/news/2024/Jun/09/1717937378357.jpg)
photo: Collected
Narendra Modi will be sworn in for the third time today as the Prime Minister of the coalition government, supported by the Telugu Desam Party and JD (United), the BJP's allies that failed to secure a single majority. 7 full ministers will be sworn in for strategic reasons as to who is getting the ministry of which ministry. Only 2 of them are BJP MPs. The rest belong to the partner group. 2 ministers from TDP, 2 ministers from JD(U) and one full minister from Shiv Sena will take oath. Heads of State and Government of Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Nepal, Mauritius and Bhutan will attend the oath ceremony. As of yesterday, it was learned that no one from the main opposition India Alliance had been invited to the swearing-in ceremony. In this context, Congress leader Jairam Ramesh raised the question, "Modi said he will move forward with the opposition, but is this an example of moving forward with him?"
On the face of it, it may seem that the NDA coalition has come to power and will rule the country in the face of strong opposition. In reality, the challenge for Modi is not the opposition, but the two allied parties. On whose support the Modi government is being formed. Railway Minister Nitish Kumar has asked. Chandrababu Naidu has sought the post of Speaker. Modi-Amit Shah, however, does not seem to have made that promise. And if they don't get those two positions, we have to wait for what they decide.
BJP's strategy is to form the government somehow. See you later. And what can be seen is the MPs of Telugu Desam Party and Janata Dal (United) breaking the party and joining the BJP by giving a lot of money and all the privileges. The Speaker has the authority to approve the sitting of MPs from the party. The Speaker has the power to block their access to Parliament if he wishes. Chandrababu Naidu and Nitish Kumar are more senior and mature in politics than Modi. Therefore, they joined the BJP alliance and supported Modi to form the government, but they are well aware and aware of the near future.
They demanded the Speaker's post after realizing Chandrababu and Nitish Kumar's strategy to clip their wings. There is no doubt that the India Alliance will support Chandrababu for good reasons if he is voted for the post of Speaker. For the past ten years, Modi ran the country with absolute majority. This is not the case. In the face of a lot of tension, he has to be obedient to the partners and fulfill their demands. If any of the partners' demands are ignored, the Modi government will fall only if the two partners withdraw their support. Never in India's history has a government completed its term without securing a single majority. Morarji Desai's coalition government, which defeated Indira Gandhi, collapsed as a result of the withdrawal of support from its partners. The VP Singh, Deve Gowda coalition government also fell prematurely due to the same reason. It is reasonable to assume that the fall of Narendra Modi's coalition government will not be a surprise.
Modi will have to face an embarrassing situation in the Parliament this time with a strong opposition alliance as well as Amritpal Singh, a supporter of the independent Khalistan movement in Punjab, Sharabjit Singh and Rashid Sheikh, the head of the separatist movement in Kashmir. Two of the three independent MPs are in jail on anti-state charges. But surely he will participate in the parliamentary proceedings as the winner of the election. In Parliament, the Modi government has to deal with extremely hostile situations on all sides.
Back pull is seen in the RSS's unwavering support for Narendra Modi and Amit Shah. The relatively passive role of the RSS on behalf of the BJP in this election has not gone unnoticed. RSS (former Bharatiya Jana Sangh) is the ideological organization of BJP. No one who is not a loyal worker of RSS can become the leader of BJP. Both Vajpayee and Modi have proven active as RSS workers for a long time.
Narendra Modi's political journey began as an RSS worker. As proof of loyalty, he became the Chief Minister of Gujarat and the Prime Minister of India with the blessings of RSS. Vajpayee's deputy prime minister and leader of the demolition of Babri Masjid L. K Advani is the second leader of BJP. He was almost certain to become the next Prime Minister of India. But only the RSS has the authority to decide who will be the Prime Minister or not. Narendra Modi was brought forward instead of Advani considering Modi as more trustworthy, loyal and reliable than Advani. The RSS considered Modi acceptable to the exclusion of others, considering that he could control Modi and advance Hindutva politics through him.
In the first term, Modi accepted the allegiance of the RSS as Prime Minister, but in the second term, Modi's overconfidence created a distance with RSS chief Mohan Bhagat. The existence of the RSS is under threat as Modi takes all decisions on the advice of Amit Shah and some BJP party members, even claiming himself as God's avatar. So in this election, RSS has remained somewhat inactive in many states, especially in Uttar Pradesh, to create pressure on Modi and Amit Shah. But that does not mean that RSS wanted the defeat of BJP. Next year, the centenary of RSS will be celebrated. It is for good reason that the RSS wants the BJP to be in power so that their organization will spread across India. The RSS is also worried about the future of Modi's coalition government.
Narendra Modi is going to set an example as the Prime Minister for the third time in a row in the Lok Sabha elections of India. In the last ten years, the Modi government has made many promises to the country and its people, but has not kept them which party won the most seats even if it did not get a single majority. There is a proverb in Bengal that the mill of religion moves in the wind. Religion is said to be the most powerful. Same is happening with Modi. The worldly problems of Indians, hunger, injustice, exploitation, deprivation are forgotten by the call of that religion and Hindu nationalists consider BJP as the savior. They tried to bring Modi back to power in the hope of reaping worldly pleasures from worldly problems, but they did not get a single majority. BJP has to rely on JD United's Nitish Kumar and Telugu Desam Party's Chandrababu Naidu to come to power. And with their support the government will survive. If support is lost, the fall of the government will be inevitable.
Our subcontinent was divided by the sword of biethnicity though that was a misinterpretation of nationality. There were two major sectarian divisions. If the Congress had not raised the voice of one nation, then the Muslims would not have had the opportunity to present bi-nationalism. That so-called bi -nationalism has taken a permanent seat in constitutionally secular India.
The BJP could not secure a single majority. It is surely a slap of the people on the Modi regime for the last ten years. The Modi government will not be able to produce a single hegemony for the next five years like in the past. BJP had to seek support from Nitish Kumar and Chandrababu Naidu. If they fail to meet their demands, they will withdraw support and the BJP government will fall like all previous coalition governments. No coalition government in India has ever completed a term without a single majority. Although Narendra Modi won the honor of becoming the Prime Minister for the third consecutive time after Jawaharlal Nehru; There is no guarantee of when he will suddenly fall in the swing of staying in power and not. The Modi government must hang in the position of Raja Trishanku.