Is Donald Lu's letter not America's 'exit plan'?
The United States has written to the three main political parties of Bangladesh. The letter given by the country's Assistant Minister of State for South and Central Asia Donald Lu has been delivered to Awami League, BNP and Jatiyo Party. Its chief messenger is Peter Haas, the US ambassador to Dhaka.
Yesterday Monday (November 13), the spokesperson of the US Embassy in Dhaka, Stephen Ebelli, confirmed the sending of this letter to Donald Lu. Reiterating that the United States does not favor any political party in a statement, Ebeli said that the United States wants free and fair elections in Bangladesh in a peaceful manner. The United States is calling on all parties to engage in dialogue without preconditions. It reminds us of the visa policy announced by the US for Bangladesh.
After delivering the letter hand in hand, Ambassador Peter Haas had a meeting with Jatiyo Party (JPA) Chairman GM Quader for about an hour. Regarding the meeting, JP General Secretary Mujibul Haque Chunnu told the reporters that the letter basically called for free, fair and participatory elections; dialogue unconditionally; And the visa policy adopted by the United States for the purpose of free and fair elections is recalled. JP General Secretary said that no party statement was given by Jatiyo Party. As a well-wisher, the US may seek fair elections in Bangladesh. But how the election will be, that is our own matter.
BNP Senior Joint Secretary General Ruhul Kabir Rizvi Ahmed confirmed the authenticity of the information on receipt of the letter, but has not yet commented on the letter. It is believed that BNP will make a formal statement on the letter after the party's acting chairman Tariq Rahman's decision comes from London. Meanwhile, Awami League presidium member Farooq Khan told the media on Monday that they have not received the letter yet, and if they receive the letter, they will also give their statement. That is, the three parties have not shown much interest in the letter yet.
The interest or disinterest of the United States around the JS elections of Bangladesh has been going on for several months. The country has also issued a visa policy for Bangladeshis "in the interests of free and fair elections", while also stating that they will not grant visas to those who attempt to disrupt and rig the elections. This visa policy of Americans was the talk of the country a few days ago. It seemed that the goal of the Bangladeshis was only to get an American visa. In the meantime, however, this moaning has subsided. But there is a lingering fear among many, although the cause is unknown. There are also many people who are not thinking about or did not have an American visa, but the visa-juju is chasing away many people. At this time, rumors spread that many people have already been banned from visas. The names of many people who are part of the government were also spread on social media, but it turned out that some of them have already visited America and met with many people in the country. Even after all this, there are fears among many, there are also rumors. The US ambassador is heavily involved.
The activity that Peter Haas has shown and continues to show in the last few months has many people refusing to accept it as his normal diplomatic activity. His interest in the election of Bangladesh has exceeded the level. It would not be an exaggeration to say that it is more volatile than his interest in the election. He is going to various places including Awami League, BNP, Jatiyo Party, Election Commission and talking to the media. The media is also promoting his speech with importance. He brought up the topic of dialogue after a meeting with the Election Commission, although Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina on another occasion immediately dismissed the informal call or possibility of dialogue. After that, a journalist close to BNP raised the comment that if Prime Minister; US President Joe Biden sits in a dialogue with former US President Donald Trump, she will also make dialogue with the opposition party, in the press briefing in Washington, although no comment was made by the Americans.
After Peter Haas's proposal for dialogue was initially rejected, it has come to the fore again in Donald Lu's letter. This time, however, it was official, and from a much higher level than Peter Haas. Here the Americans spoke of dialogue, and at the same time they are believed to have shown fear of the visa policy. However, the issue of visa policy is very much unappealing in recent times. And the government seems to have already managed to overcome the fear of the visa policy. This fear has been overcome by the field administration and law enforcement forces, who are somehow involved in the elections.
The government and BNP will surely speak about the letter sent by Donald Lu. However, there is no reason to think that this letter will open the way for dialogue. Because the ongoing movement of BNP and like-minded alliances could not bring the government into disrepair, rather BNP has fallen into disrepair. BNP and its like-minded parties-alliances are in the blockade program despite not being able to make the grand rally successful despite the huge gathering on October 28. BNP leaders and activists are not able to enter the field due to the strict role of the administration in this program. Almost all the leaders of the party have left their homes in fear of arrest.
Having cornered the BNP in field politics, the Awami League government has again succeeded somewhat in the diplomatic field in the Two plus Two meeting held in India, where the United States and India discussed various issues. In that meeting, the Awami League government's position on behalf of India and the message given to the United States, the government is very relieved. Awami League thinks that it is India's message to the United States. In this case, the efforts of Americans in Bangladesh will be greatly reduced. In such a situation, this letter of dialogue given by the US, threatening the visa policy does not seem to be able to influence the government. It was evident from the two plus two meeting of New Delhi thet atnd of the two countries over Bangladesh election is different. But both put emphasis on democracy.
The ongoing movement of BNP is a one-point demand. In this phase they want the resignation of the government. Awami League is heading towards the elections under the party government under the constitutional system without considering the demand for resignation at the beginning. The Election Commission has already completed the overall preparations for the election. It is also expected that the election schedule will be announced in very shortly. In such a situation, this call for dialogue does not seem to have much effect.
With whom will the dialogue be? What is the future of dialogue? BNP and its like-minded parties did not attend the dialogue organized by the Election Commission earlier this month. The Election Commission will not organize a new dialogue. Then the dialogue between the government and the other parties is left. This will also not be possible, because the main demand of BNP is the resignation of the government, sitting in the dialogue means withdrawing from the demand of resignation. It doesn't look like the party will do that. As a result, the call for dialogue is more likely to be limited to letters in the end.
The letter from US Assistant Secretary of State for South and Central Asia Donald Lu came after the Two plus Two meeting held in India. Is this letter the last role taken by the United States after that meeting? Is the visa policy threatened in the letter, but America's 'exit plan' from Bangladesh election related issues?
The fact that the fear of a difficult future is slowly moving away from the present cannot be ruled out!